We like Miami today at home against North Carolina. UNC has a new coach and Miami getting a touchdown and a hook at home seems like a good edge.
Florida State was everyone's sexy pick for the national championship and NC State upset them last week, a game which we picked correctly. So here we like FSU to have a letdown game after their national championship hopes were dealt a severe blow. Boston College only needs to cover 4 TDs.
Central Florida is coming off a bitter loss from last year against Southern Miss and Southern Miss is a new coach on the road, so we like Central Florida.
We're taking Texas in the Red River Rivalry because they got smashed lat year and have probably marked the calendar for revenge this year. Last year was the worst loss since 2003 for Texas.
We're taking Louisiana Tech over Texas A&M because any team that acts like this after a win over Ole Miss is not a team I want to bet on.
Index
Miami +7.5 1450 WIN
BC +28.5 1450
Central Florida -17 1450
Texas +3 1450 LOSS
Louisiana Tech +9 1450
Saturday, October 13, 2012
Thursday, October 11, 2012
Pittsburgh at Tennessee
We are in 14th with 24151 to begin week 6. The leader has 49100 and 19 people have 20000 or more. 12 are out.
We like Tennessee tonight because their defense has been really bad. They've given up over 30 points every game. Tonight they're playing at home and they're getting points, so we like that combination.
We also like Troy vs Western Kentucky. WKU has covered 14 games in a row. They ran wild on Troy last year, gaining 338 rushing yards, so we think it's a revenge game for Troy on Thursday night.
We're we're also adding Colorado. This came up late, but as we discussed, if there was ever a spot to take a bad team it's Thursday night. Arizona State has Oregon next week so it's probably going to be tough to focus on lowly Colordo, and hopefully will be a lookahead game where Colorado can sneak one out on Thursday night. There are few games Thursday nights so they tend to play better.
Index
Tennessee +6 1450 WIN
Troy +1.5 1450 LOSS
Colorado +22 1450 LOSS
We like Tennessee tonight because their defense has been really bad. They've given up over 30 points every game. Tonight they're playing at home and they're getting points, so we like that combination.
We also like Troy vs Western Kentucky. WKU has covered 14 games in a row. They ran wild on Troy last year, gaining 338 rushing yards, so we think it's a revenge game for Troy on Thursday night.
We're we're also adding Colorado. This came up late, but as we discussed, if there was ever a spot to take a bad team it's Thursday night. Arizona State has Oregon next week so it's probably going to be tough to focus on lowly Colordo, and hopefully will be a lookahead game where Colorado can sneak one out on Thursday night. There are few games Thursday nights so they tend to play better.
Index
Tennessee +6 1450 WIN
Troy +1.5 1450 LOSS
Colorado +22 1450 LOSS
Monday, October 8, 2012
Disaster and the Jets Jets Jets
We had an absolutely terrible NFL Sunday. We went 1-5 and lost over 6000. Nothing went our way. This is the exact reason we've been wagering the amounts we chose weeks ago - to prepare for the worst case scenario. Sunday was the worst case scenario. We lost back nearly all that we had gained, but the most important thing is that we are alive and still have a chance. We also still have more than we started, with 22151 right now. If we had been betting larger we could have been wiped out. We fell to 15th, and considering how brutal the day was I reckon things could be much worse. Mr. Pig and I talked today and discussed next week's action; we didn't dwell on yesterday because we had to move on since there's extra work to do now.
The Saints win last night salvaged the day somewhat and brought us to 2-6 for the day. Tonight we love the Jets. LOVE the Jets. They're at home getting 9 points against an unbeaten Houston team. The Jets have been getting slammed in the media all week and Houston is everyone's darling. Houston has had 2 high-scoring wins in a row, have won 4 in a row overall, played very well last week, and the Jets played very poorly last week - getting shutout at home by the 49ers, so the Jets are the obvious pick to contrarian bettors such as ourselves. If we win this big bet we will have only lost about 3000ish for the week and that's not really bad at all. If we lose we'll basically be back at the starting amount.
The Saints win last night salvaged the day somewhat and brought us to 2-6 for the day. Tonight we love the Jets. LOVE the Jets. They're at home getting 9 points against an unbeaten Houston team. The Jets have been getting slammed in the media all week and Houston is everyone's darling. Houston has had 2 high-scoring wins in a row, have won 4 in a row overall, played very well last week, and the Jets played very poorly last week - getting shutout at home by the 49ers, so the Jets are the obvious pick to contrarian bettors such as ourselves. If we win this big bet we will have only lost about 3000ish for the week and that's not really bad at all. If we lose we'll basically be back at the starting amount.
Index
Jets +9 2200 WIN
Just as I predicted before the weekend - we have a new leader. It's not us though. Yet.
Just as I predicted before the weekend - we have a new leader. It's not us though. Yet.
Sunday, October 7, 2012
Streaks Don't Last
NFL - not for long. Nothing lasts for long in the NFL. We like betting against streaks. We're picking Miami and Washington because their opponents are on 3 game win streaks. We're picking New Orleans and Cleveland because their on 4 game losing streaks. We won last week with point spread betting for them also.
We like teams that played poorly vs teams that played well in the previous week, so we like Tennessee, Jacksonville, and Buffalo.
Index
Miami +3.5 1350 WIN
Washington +3 1350 LOSS
New Orleans -3.5 1350 WIN
Cleveland +9 1350 LOSS
Tennessee. +6 1350 LOSS
Jacksonville +6.5 1600 LOSS
Buffalo +10 1950 LOSS
We like teams that played poorly vs teams that played well in the previous week, so we like Tennessee, Jacksonville, and Buffalo.
Index
Miami +3.5 1350 WIN
Washington +3 1350 LOSS
New Orleans -3.5 1350 WIN
Cleveland +9 1350 LOSS
Tennessee. +6 1350 LOSS
Jacksonville +6.5 1600 LOSS
Buffalo +10 1950 LOSS
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