Armageddon

Tonight is probably the biggest college game of the year so far with Alabama visiting LSU, but more on that later.  We're in 8th place going into today's action and we have a good list of games.

Mississippi State, Florida, and Oregon State all lost for the first time last week so we're picking against them.  Out of all these matchups we especially like Texas A&M and we got it early in the week at -6.

Notre Dame should be looking for some style points today against Pitt and 3 Pitt players got into some legal trouble this week so that made it an easy pick.  Some Idaho players got dismissed from the team as well so they should get smashed also.

We took Oregon early in the week because we think they're much better than USC.  This is a pretty big game too, but definitely overshadowed by Alabama-LSU.  In the big game we like LSU because they were embarrassed in the national championship game 21-0 and they didn't gain 100 yards offensively, they barely crossed the 50 yard line.  So they should be ultra focused playing a home game at night in Death Valley and coming off a bye week.

Update
We're kicking ourselves for not getting in on LSU earlier when it was 9.5.  Why did we wait?  Greed.  We wanted 10, but should have realized the line was soft.  Most of the money has been coming in on Alabama, allegedly, yet the line went down to 7.5, so if you believe that there's only one possibly explanation.  Sportsbooks are hedging their bets because they know that LSU us the right side.  Nobody knows more about each side of a game than oddsmakers.  Nobody.  It's their job to know everything.  When a line looks off - it's you that doesn't know everything.  I'm still confident in the 7.5 but wish we had 2 more points.  We were not sharp on this one.  Square, very square.

We're also taking Indiana.  Free pick from a trusted associate that we trust, blindly.

Index
Texas A&M -6 2800 WIN
Missouri +16 2800 WIN
Arizona State +3.5 2800 LOSS
Notre Dame -17 2800 LOSS
San Jose State -19 2800 WIN
Oregon -7.5 2800 WIN
LSU -7.5 2800 WIN
Indiana -2 2800 WIN

Eastern Michigan

I didn't realized Eastern Michigan and Ohio kicked off so early because we took E. Michigan early in the week because we liked the line.  Ohio just lost it's first game so they should letdown.  They're not a national title contender but getting to 7-0 is still a nice little feat.

Index

Eastern Michigan +17 2800

MNF: San Francisco at Arizona

We like Arizona tonight because they've lost 3 in a row.  It's also in Arizona and they're getting points.  Lastly, the 49ers have a bye next week and teams going on vacation have mostly not played well.

Index

Arizona +7 3000 LOSS

NFL on the Eve of Hurricane Sandy

As the east coast braces for Hurricane Sandy Mr. Pig and I are working on our Sunday picks.  We like Philly at home against an undefeated Atlanta team.  This pick is actually quite popular with gamblers, which somewhat surprises me, but clearly nobody believes Atlanta is as good as their 6-0 record would indicate.

We like Carolina on a 4 game losing streak against Chicago on a 4 game win streak and Monday night letdown.  We've been waiting for the line to move in our direction but haven't seen much action.  

New Orleans just got a suspended coach back and are playing on the road so we like Denver.  

The Giants have won 3 in a row, but I'm nervous about Dallas, Mr. Pig will have to talk me into it. (We're off this game)

Phillip Rivers set a personal turnover record vs Denver and San Diego blew the last two games and had a bye to think about what they did.

The Jets are going on bye and beat Miami in Miami earlier this year.  Revenge game for Miami?  Possibly.  I like that Jets are going on bye, teams have not played well this year about to go on vacation.

Kansas City has lost 3 in a row, so we think they can rebound against Oakland.

We also like New England in London vs St Louis.  The Rams are not as good a people think.

Index

Philadelphia -3 3000 LOSS

Carolina +7.5 3500 WIN

Denver -6 2500 WIN

San Diego -3 2500 LOSS
Kansas City -1 2500 LOSS
New England -6.5 2500 WIN
Miami +1 2500 WIN