Sunday, September 22, 2013

NFL Week 3 - Against the Wall

We're in 10th place after an up and down 5-4 day yesterday in college. We have a bunch of picks we like this week. And I'm being threatened with banishment from my buddy's work pool after dominating the NFL picks last week - has America become just a bunch of pussies and snitches?

We like the New York Giants because week 3 is backs-against-the-wall week in the NFL and I'd much rather have 2-time Superbowl champions Eli and Tom Coughlin in my corner than Cam Newton and Ron Rivera, who might be fired over the bye - the dude has to go. The Giants are also coming off an embarrassing loss to Denver. Carolina, like I said, is going into a bye and starting last year the new collective bargaining agreement allows for a full week off, which means only the most focused teams will be able to avoids being distracted by taking care of the pets and picking up the dry-cleaning.  Carolina will fall into that trap and with a motivated Giants team - easy pick.

Green Bay is also going into a bye but they can avoid the distractions and take care of a Cincinnati team that is coming off a Monday night win against a division rival and in a prime spot for a letdown.

We like Minnesota not because of the Trent Richardson trade but because it's the first road game for a new coach.  But, Cleveland is essentially giving up on 2013.

It's Ray Lewis Ring of Honor day in Baltimore against a Houston team that has scored 30+ the last two weeks in squeaked out wins, and Baltimore is a home dog.  Also, last time these two teams met was Harbaugh's worst loss of his career.

Here are the rest of the games we're looking at right now:

Washington is a home dog and they are another teams with their back against the wall.  People are calling for Kirk Cousins, so it can't get much worse when fans are calling for the franchise QB to be benched.  Detroit is a dome team coming to play on grass and they should find a way to lose against a Washington team that badly needs a win.

St. Louis is playing in Dallas, but more importantly is playing San Francisco on Thursday night so this should be a lookahead and an easy win for Dallas, but it seems Dallas never has an easy win, especially at home.

Jacksonville is a 19 point underdog.  That's a good enough reason to take them.  This is the NFL.  Jacksonville spent the week on the west coast and should be focused on beating one of the superbowl contenders, or at least covering the large point spread.

Indy is playing in San Francisco in a Father Knows Best game, as Harbaugh coached Andrew Luck at Stanford.  The 49ers are coming off a beatdown from Seattle on Sunday night so they should be ready to play.

Buffalo has it's first road game with their new coach against the Jets, so we think that the Jets should be able to take care of business.

We think we like Pittsburgh as a home dog tonight because they are another back-against-the-wall team.

Minnesota -5.5 1650
NY Giants +1 1650
Green Bay -2.5 1650
Baltimore +1.5 1650

Maybes:
Washington
Dallas
Jacksonville
San Fran
NY Jets
Pittsburgh