Saturday, November 10, 2012

Post-Election Saturday College Football

We need some win today because we've been cold of late.  We haven't been severely damaged because of our betting strategy and money management.  I cannot stress how important it is to manage your bankroll and bet accordingly.  When you gamble you will lose.  Simple as that.  So you must be able to survive cold streaks.

South Carolina is in a good spot today.  Arkansas is just plain awful.  SC has had 2 weeks to prepare.  With Lattimore going down other players will step up and play harder.  

NC State is in a good spot because they got smashed at home last week and should redeem themselves this week.    

Oklahoma has marked the calendar for this game.  Last year, Baylor and RG3 beat OK as 16.5 underdogs, shocking OK for their first win in this series in at least 10 years.  OK will be ready and be looking to pound this team, who no longer has RG3.

A couple of players were dismissed from Southern Miss this week and that's a situation we always like to pick against, so SMU should easily cover.

Purdue hasn't been very competitive in Big 10 play and Iowa is significantly better according to our rankings.

Fresno State and Nevada should be a shootout.  both teams prepared to score a lot and that exactly what should happen.  Taking the over.

Northwestern has this Michigan game marked on the calendar after the beatdown they took last year.

We have Miami ranked about 30 spots better than Virginia.  People think Miami is down but they lost a close one at UNC and other losses were to very good teams - ND, FSU, and KSU - and they beat everyone else.  And Virginia won in Miami last year as 13.5 underdogs.  Miami isn't overlooking this game and they're better.

This is Louisville's first road game in nearly a month and they are very overrated.  Somehow they are undefeated still.  That ends today.  Syracuse in the dome.

Texas Tech is angry and looking to beat someone up today.  TT gets back on track against a terrible Kansas team.

Navy will beat Troy.  Last week against a big opponent in Tennessee (big for Troy), Troy went wild.  They shredded the Tennessee defense for 721 yards and 30 first downs.  So, today, on a historic day and a historic game they will be outplayed by Navy.

Oregon State has suffered tough losses to Stanford during the Andrew Luck era.  That era is over.  Time for payback.

Texas A&M is a high powered flashy offense with a QB named Johnny Football.  Are you for real?  Johnny Football?  We love Alabama, the number 1 defense in college football, to shut down this Johnny Football kid.  Roll Tide.

Index
UConn +3.5 2300 (Friday) WIN
South Carolina -14 2300 WIN
NC State -9.5 2300 WIN
Oklahoma -20.5 2300 LOSS
SMU -14.5 2300 WIN
Iowa -5 2300 LOSS
Fresno-Nevada Over 69 2300 WIN
Northwestern +8.5 2300 WIN
Miami +2 2300 WIN
Syracuse +2 2300 WIN
Texas Tech -24 2300 LOSS
Navy -2 2300 LOSS
Oregon State +4 2300 PUSH
Alabama -14 2300 LOSS




Thursday, November 8, 2012

Thursday Night Special

We like Jacksonville tonight, believe it or not. We've got a losing streak vs a winning streak. Andrew Luck set the single game rookie passing record last week. The Colts won an emotional game last week with their sick coach showing up in the locker room. Colts have got to letdown tonight on a short week on the road. Jacksonville doesn't get any chances to play on the spotlight or chances to actually win a game.

Index
Jacksonville +3.5 2650 LOSS

Monday, November 5, 2012

Philadelphia at New Orleans

After a bad Sunday we've fallen out of the top 10, for the first time in many weeks.  It would be nice to get some back tonight but we're not doing anything crazy like a degenerate would.  We like the Eagles tonight because they're on a 3 game losing streak.  They called a players-only meeting, which always makes me chuckle a little, but at least we know they're motivated.  However, it also means that panic is setting in, so it's a big game.  Haven't heard much from New Orleans players this week, but the news coming out of the bayou is that the NFL voided Sean Payton's contract, so his future with the Saints is uncertain, to say the least.  Currently at 2-5, I'd say New Orleans has not responded well post-Bountygate, so I think it makes the Philly side stronger, but not enough to bet more because New Orleans did get spanked by Denver last week on Sunday night.

Index
Philly +3 2500 LOSS

Sunday Night Football

We love Dallas tonight.  Atlanta has won 7 games in a row and are way overdue for a loss.  We're getting 4 points so we don't even need to win.

Index
Dallas +4 3200 LOSS

Sunday, November 4, 2012

Post-Sandy Football Sunday

We cancelled out any advantages Pittsburgh and NY Giants had this week.

Here's are the picks, not much time for a write up today:

Baltimore - smashed by Houston before bye, only laying 3.5 to much worse team.
Cincinnati - 3 game losing streak, DEN is due to letdown
Arizona - GB has won 3 in a row
Buffalo - Buffalo should be able to cver double digits
Carolina - 5 game losing streak might end today
Indy - Miami is going to letdown
Tennessee - Bears are due for a loss

Index
Baltimore -3.5 2800 WIN
Cincinnati +4.5 3200 LOSS
Arizona +10 2800 LOSS
Buffalo +10 2800 LOSS
Carolina +3 2800 WIN
Indy +1.5 2800 WIN
Tennessee +4.5 3200 LOSS