New Coaches on the Road

The contest is off to a fast start with several guys throwing caution to the wind and placing all max bets.  One guy is already down half his units to 10,000.

We're taking a more conservative approach and wagering 1100 to win 1000.

We like all the following college matchups with new coaches playing on the road for the first time, Idaho already played on the road and didn't cover the point spread.

Auburn -10.5
Illinois +8.5
Wyoming -28
Stanford -25.5
Nebraska -28
Michigan State -23

UPDATE:

Auburn -10.5 WIN 2000
Illinois +8.5 WIN 1000
Wyoming -28 WIN 1000
Stanford -24.5 LOSS 1100
Nebraska -28 WIN 1000
Michigan State -23 MISSED GAMETIME WOULD HAVE LOST

First Meeting and College Football Week 2 Preview

Mr. Pig and I had our first business meeting last night.  Mr. Pig seems reassured that I haven't lost my mind after discussing changes I thought we needed to make last week.  We're on the same page, but we have to use more discretion with our traditional model is the only point I was making.  Trends can be extremely helpful when betting but a trend is a generalization.  The one change I've been suggesting is that we bet more aggressively the situation that we like and lay off loser teams and coaches.  We obviously picked too many losers last year, but sometimes I felt like a moron watching a game I was going to lose having chosen to rely on Norv Turner.  I like underdogs, and I like favorites, but I don't like teams and coaches that find ways to lose.

The football contest begins tonight, all units are restocked, everyone is even, and talk is cheap.  The number of participants in the contest has jumped to 73 and I'm not surprised.

We don't like Denver or Baltimore tonight or any college games so we're holding off for the weekend.  For college this weekend we're looking at:

Auburn
Illinois
Wyoming
Stanford
Nebraska
Michigan State
Tennessee

We might lay off Tennessee and Nebraska, but we're looking into it.  Official picks to come Saturday morning.

Update:
Current loser coaches in the NFL I was referring to:
Garrett
Frazier
Munchak
Dennis Allen
Schwartz
Marvin Lewis

Might be nice guys, but I ain't wagering my units on those dudes.

Oakland and Buffalo

Oakland and Buffalo don't even have quarterbacks, so snatching up lines early against both teams seems like a good idea.  The other day it was leaked out of Oakland that Terrell Pryor will be the starting QB.  The fact that the Oakland locker room has more leaks than the Iraqi navy doesn't say good things about the authority of head coach Dennis Allen.  You know he's probably going to be fired so it just shows he has no control and no respect.  Oakland is going to be really bad this year, and I'm already labeling it "the lost year".