Saturday, December 1, 2012
College
We're laying low this weekend and playing our best plays aggressively. The only plays I'm considering today are Texas against a Kansas State team that just lost their first game. Actually, I'd also consider Oklahoma State. I would also consider the Nebraska/Wisconsin UNDER, but will likely sit out.
Tuesday, November 27, 2012
Lucky 13
Going into this week we have the least units we've had all year and we're frustrated with losing. We've decided to look at all the plays and go max on the best possible ones. We need to make 20K to get a reasonable shot at this thing and we figure going 4-0 max betting is easier than something like going 20-10 with the amount we had been wagering. Picking the strongest plays and being aggressive is our new strategy. Who knows maybe we'll realize that's what we should have been doing anyways. The hard part is figuring out which plays are the strongest. The risk is the clear downside - if we're cold then we're done, out, finished, no more bets, see you next year. 22 people have been eliminated so far, hopefully we're not going to meet that fate.
Monday, November 26, 2012
MNF: Carolina at Philly
There's reasons to play both sides in this terrible matchup. Carolina we had pegged to cover some games in the second half and Philly is on a losing streak so that's a reason to take the Eagles. However, the most peculiar thing about this game is the line itself. The game is in Philadelphia but Carolina is favored. When was the last time a 2-8 team was favored going into the Link or Veterans' stadium to play an Andy Reid coached team? I'm guessing never. And even though Philly's starting QB and RB are out they still should be favored, however, the writing is on the wall and it seems like the team has quit on Andy Reid. They're cleaning house in Philly and it's already started. That said, Philly has talented players and it's Monday night so anything can happen. Best bet is to lay off, but if you held a gun to my head I'd say take Carolina and/or the under, but it wouldn't surprise me if Foles lit up a Carolina defense that was taking him too lightly. He averaged 352 yards in the PAC-12 last year.
And by the way, we've tumbled to 25th place with 16832, so we have some serious coming back to do. As long as we have arms we will fight. Count on that.
Sunday, November 25, 2012
New York Giants
The Giants have to stop the bleeding - we're hemorrhaging betting units. After this weekend all I can say is good thing I didn't bet my life savings. We're not done yet though. All long as we still have some shares we're still alive.
Green Bay is on a 5 game win streak. That ends tonight.
Index
Giants -3 3300
Green Bay is on a 5 game win streak. That ends tonight.
Index
Giants -3 3300
Save a Prayer for Sunday
Yesterday we got murdered in college football. We tumbled in the standings to 21st. We need a good day in the NFL. So, here's how we plan to make our money back.
Miami has lost 3 in a row and Seattle is a good go-against on the road.
Oakland is catching over a touchdown in Cincinnati. Hopefully Carson Palmer has been focused this week because he is returning to the team he abandoned. Oakland has lost 3 in a row so I think the whole team should be focused.
Tampa Bay has won 4 in a row and Matt Ryan threw 5 interceptions last week so we like Atlanta to light up Tampa.
Jacksonville has lost many games in a row but took Houston to overtime last week so there's some hope with the QB change.
Baltimore has won 3 in a row and is in the middle of a Pittsburgh sandwich traveling to San Diego so we like the Chargers.
This might sound crazy but we like the Chiefs against Denver. Kansas City has lost 7 in a row and Denver has won 5 and scored 30+ points a few times, so all that we know says to take the double-digit home underdog.
We like Arizona because they've lost 6 in a row and they probably can't even go for a burrito without being laughed at in Arizona.
Index
Miami +3
Oakland +8.5
Atlanta -1.5
Jacksonville +3.5
San Diego 0
Kansas City +10 (waiting til gametime for more points)
Arizona tbd
Miami has lost 3 in a row and Seattle is a good go-against on the road.
Oakland is catching over a touchdown in Cincinnati. Hopefully Carson Palmer has been focused this week because he is returning to the team he abandoned. Oakland has lost 3 in a row so I think the whole team should be focused.
Tampa Bay has won 4 in a row and Matt Ryan threw 5 interceptions last week so we like Atlanta to light up Tampa.
Jacksonville has lost many games in a row but took Houston to overtime last week so there's some hope with the QB change.
Baltimore has won 3 in a row and is in the middle of a Pittsburgh sandwich traveling to San Diego so we like the Chargers.
This might sound crazy but we like the Chiefs against Denver. Kansas City has lost 7 in a row and Denver has won 5 and scored 30+ points a few times, so all that we know says to take the double-digit home underdog.
We like Arizona because they've lost 6 in a row and they probably can't even go for a burrito without being laughed at in Arizona.
Index
Miami +3
Oakland +8.5
Atlanta -1.5
Jacksonville +3.5
San Diego 0
Kansas City +10 (waiting til gametime for more points)
Arizona tbd
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