Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Tuesday Night Football?

As we begin this week, we are in 9th place with 41882 after a backdoor cover on Monday night by Detroit.  The leader has 70635, which is remarkable.  He has 60% winners and we have 58% winners, but he has made fewer bets than us, so it would seem that he has been winning all his big bets an losing all his small bets.  That won't continue.  And being in first place has been a very dangerous position so far.  He could probably sustain his 60% winners, especially if he is being very selective, but I don't think he can continue to hit the bigs and lose the smalls, he'll even out and when he starts losing more bigs he'll come back down a bit.  The 10th spot right behind us has 41438 then there is some separation as 11th has 30000 exactly.

-21 people have 20000 or better.    
-18 are eliminated.
-5 have less than 10000
-11 have less than 15000
-37 have less than the starting amount, out of 58 including eliminated

Tonight we have a little Sun Belt Conference action between Louisiana-Lafayette and Arkansas State.  A game that would probably be only for degenerate gamblers but we found an edge with a little digging.  Ark State beat ULL late last year when the conference title was on the line.  ULL is also better and playing at home on a weird night for football.

Index
ULL -3.5 2500 LOSS

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