We're laying off the NFL tonight. Even though Buffalo has lost 3 in a row, a situation we like to bet for, Miami got destroyed by Tennessee last week, so they're in a favorable betting situation too - lost by 25+ including the spread. So that is a no play, we'll just hope people ahead of us go the wrong way. Speaking of which, we are in 10th place currently with 44, 487. The leader has 81,900, 21 people have 20,000+, and 20 are out with a few more soon to join them in betting shame. Due to the gap that is between us and the leaders we decided to up our bets 1%. We have time but this thing is essentially more than half over. We are not confident in our model for the NFL playoffs and we think the NFL playoffs can be pretty unpredictable, so we're stepping it up slightly now so we don't have to make desperation bets later, something we are very much looking forward to avoiding. I believe we can win. We have solid list for Saturday's games and I'm confident, but that means nothing, or does it? Either way check back Saturday morning.
For tonight's college game we like North Carolina. Virginia is all of a sudden a sexy pick for no good reason. North Carolina is a much better team, we have them ranked much higher in our rankings and to get UNC at -3 is a good value. UNC defense gave up 68 to Georgia Tech last week so you have to figure they were tuned in at practice this week and will be looking to shut down Virginia.
Index
UNC -3 3200 WIN
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