The NFC South contains average teams and Superbowl pretenders.
Atlanta - 10 - UNDER
Atlanta was lucky last season and overachieved. They've put a lot of pressure on themselves this season with the Superbowl-or-bust attitude, so if things get off to a slow start, which they likely will given the first four opponents, it could be tough to recover. 8-9 wins seems possible, and likely missing the playoffs.
Tampa Bay - 7.5 - OVER
I don't like Greg Schiano as an NFL coach. I think his defensive coaching philosophy is flawed because stopping the pass is more important than stopping the run. However, I think this team can win 8-9 games this year as long as Revis is 100%. If Revis not 100%, the total will go UNDER. Schiano will be gone after next season.
Carolina - 7.5 - UNDER
Only a fool would think that a team that will fire it's head coach during the season would win 8 or more games. Ron Rivera is a terrible NFL head coach. Mike Shula is not the right coach for Cam Newton. Carolina fans will probably spend the season yelling at their televisions. If they fire Rivera early enough then the under could be in jeopardy.
New Orleans - 9 - OVER
The defense will improve even though Rob Ryan is switching a 3-4. The offense should improve too with Payton's return. Brees and Payton should be able to out-gun enough teams to win 10 games.
Best bet: Carolina UNDER
1. New Orleans 10-6
2. Atlanta 9-7
3. Tampa Bay 8-8
4. Carolina 6-10
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