Mr. Pig and I had our first business meeting last night. Mr. Pig seems reassured that I haven't lost my mind after discussing changes I thought we needed to make last week. We're on the same page, but we have to use more discretion with our traditional model is the only point I was making. Trends can be extremely helpful when betting but a trend is a generalization. The one change I've been suggesting is that we bet more aggressively the situation that we like and lay off loser teams and coaches. We obviously picked too many losers last year, but sometimes I felt like a moron watching a game I was going to lose having chosen to rely on Norv Turner. I like underdogs, and I like favorites, but I don't like teams and coaches that find ways to lose.
The football contest begins tonight, all units are restocked, everyone is even, and talk is cheap. The number of participants in the contest has jumped to 73 and I'm not surprised.
We don't like Denver or Baltimore tonight or any college games so we're holding off for the weekend. For college this weekend we're looking at:
Auburn
Illinois
Wyoming
Stanford
Nebraska
Michigan State
Tennessee
We might lay off Tennessee and Nebraska, but we're looking into it. Official picks to come Saturday morning.
Update:
Current loser coaches in the NFL I was referring to:
Garrett
Frazier
Munchak
Dennis Allen
Schwartz
Marvin Lewis
Might be nice guys, but I ain't wagering my units on those dudes.
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