We like Pittsburgh over the Jets. Pittsburgh didn't play well against Denver last week and the Jets played out of their mind against Buffalo, so we like the Steelers to play a lot better and the Jets to play much worse.
The Giants lost on opening night to Dallas and this week they're playing Tampa Bay in New Jersey, so we like the Giants against a team that played very well last week and playing their first road game under a new coach this week. I love the Giants here.
We like Tennessee because San Diego played Oakland, a division rival, on Monday night, and we think that San Diego will have a letdown game and struggle to get up for Tennessee after playing a big game a short week ago.
We love Philly this week. Baltimore played a division rival on Monday night (Cincinnati) and now they're playing a non-division, non-conference opponent in Philly. Baltimore is also at the beginning of a stretch of 4 games in 17 days, and that can't be good; playing 25% of a 4 month season in 17 days. The betting public also loves Baltimore, so we love hilly even more.
Speaking of the betting public, there has been some big line movement this week and we're considering going the opposite way of the public just because we know amateur bettors are mostly wrong. Based on the movement of the lines we know people love New Orleans, Dallas, Washington, and San Fran, so that put us on Carolina, Seattle, St. Louis, and Detroit.
After my morning conversation with Mr. Pig we're going forward with the, to use a cliche, flip the script teams, except for Carolina because they've been talking. We don't like talk. We love overreactions and media hype.
Index - UPDATED
NY Giants -7 1100 PUSH
Pittsburgh -5 1100 WIN
Tennessee +6.5 1100 LOSS
Philadelphia -3 1325 LOSS
Seattle +3 1100 WIN
Detroit +7 1100 LOSS
St. Louis +3.5 1100 WIN
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