We've got two games tonight, one college and one pro. Early in the week we locked in Green Bay at -6 because we thought people would realized that Green Bay went 15-1 last year and after getting whooped by the 49ers at home last week that they would be looking to refocus and get serious about 2012. We didn't want to have to cover a whole touchdown so we grabbed -6 while it was there. Even though we like Green Bay the public likes Chicago, who is way too over-confident. It's the oldest rivalry in professional football. These two teams hate each other. People are loving the swagger of the Bears. Jay Cutler is saying "good luck" to the Packers secondary and Brandon Marshall is going on about how he's bigger and tougher than the Packers secondary. They're giving Green Bay plenty of bulletin board material. People have ignored this or failed to realize it because they are way too high on Chicago so the line moved favorable to us, but we'd already locked in Green Bay, so unfortunately we have to cover an extra point and a half.
In college tonight we like South Florida who is playing Rutgers. This will be the first road game for the new Rutgers head coach. Former coach Greg Schiano left for Tampa Bay in the NFL and took most of his assistants with him, so hopefully tonight is a disaster. They actually won their first road game 2 weeks ago, but failed to cover the spread, in fact, they've won both games they've played but failed to cover in each. That doesn't make me feel good because at some point they're going to play as well or better than expected. South Florida is significantly better, especially offensively, than Tulane and Howard, Rutgers only two opponents this year, and they're playing at home. Last year, SF was up on Rutgers 17-3 before Rutgers won in overtime 20-17, so South Florida should be focused and prepared to keep their heads in the game.
Index
Green Bay -6 1100
South Florida -7.5 1100
Update
-South Florida really blew it tonight. Couldn't capitalize on a ton of Rutgers penalties and turned the ball over in red zone. Poor. Rutgers came up with a couple of circus catch intercepions, so that didn't help. LOSS
-Green Bay isn't quite the same as they were last year. Aaron Rodgers seems to be focusing on the officiating too much. Fortunately, the Chicago offense was putrid. Jay Cutler wishing good luck to the Green Bay secondary has really really been paying off, truly it has, Cutler has thrown 3 interceptions.
Update 2
Make that 4 interceptions for Cutler. GB is kneeling on it. WIN
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